A report from June 23, 2026, discussed a potential AI bubble in China due to computing power shortages, suggesting that Chinese AI companies, including Kimi, are "trying to stop you from buying" their models due to cost issues, indicating broader supply-side pressures.
Open source ↗
Kimi
Kimi K3
PREV Kimi K2.7 Code · 2026-06-12
Leaked name: Kimi k3 [unverified]
- Window
- Jul 1 – Jul 31, 2026
- Confidence
- 90%
- Analysis
- The prediction for a July 2026 release is maintained with high confidence, based on multiple, consistent, and strong leaks from a credible AI insider. Recent signals regarding service disruptions are of low trust and do not impact the current forecast for the next model's release.
Last updated: 2026-06-24
Kimi family release history
Historical release interval
53–200d
Est. next interval
95d
Days since current model
13d
Current model released
2026-06-12
Signals
Kimi experienced user-reported service disruptions, with seven reports in the 24 hours leading up to June 23, 2026, though the overall system status remained operational.
Open source ↗Leaker @chetaslua claimed that the upcoming Kimi K3 model is scheduled for release in July 2026.
Open source ↗›View all signals (11)
2026-06-23
›View 2 more low-trust sources
A report from June 23, 2026, discussed a potential AI bubble in China due to computing power shortages, suggesting that Chinese AI companies, including Kimi, are "trying to stop you from buying" their models due to cost issues, indicating broader supply-side pressures.
Open source ↗Kimi experienced user-reported service disruptions, with seven reports in the 24 hours leading up to June 23, 2026, though the overall system status remained operational.
Open source ↗2026-06-21
Leaker @chetaslua claimed that the upcoming Kimi K3 model is scheduled for release in July 2026.
Open source ↗2026-06-16
›View 3 more low-trust sources
Moonshot AI's status page reported an increased error rate for Agentic models on June 16, 2026.
Open source ↗Cloudflare Workers AI reported degraded availability for Kimi K2.6 and K2.7 Code models, with minor impact starting June 16, 2026.
Open source ↗On June 16, 2026, Cloudflare Workers AI reported degraded availability for some models, including Kimi K2.6 and K2.7-Code, which was under investigation.
Open source ↗2026-06-13
According to credible leaker @chetaslua, Kimi K3 is expected to be released in July 2026.
Open source ↗AI insider @chetaslua asserted that Kimi k3, the next main frontier model, will be released "in July 100%".
Open source ↗2026-06-12
New model ID "moonshotai/kimi-k2.7-code" (MoonshotAI: Kimi K2.7 Code) appeared in the OpenRouter model list.
Open source ↗›View 2 more low-trust sources
A new beta program for Kimi Code has launched, offering early access to upcoming models and features, including a "6x High-Speed Mode" that is "coming soon."
Open source ↗Moonshot AI officially released Kimi K2.7-Code on June 12, 2026, as an open-source, coding-focused successor to Kimi K2.6, touting improved coding and agent performance, publishing full model weights to Hugging Face.
Open source ↗›Prediction history (9)
2026-06-24 · Jul 1 – Jul 31, 2026 · 90%
The prediction for a July 2026 release is maintained with high confidence, based on multiple, consistent, and strong leaks from a credible AI insider. Recent signals regarding service disruptions are of low trust and do not impact the current forecast for the next model's release.
2026-06-24 · Jul 1 – Jul 31, 2026 · 90%
Multiple consistent leaks from a credible insider strongly suggest that Kimi's next frontier model, "Kimi K3," is scheduled for release in July 2026. The high confidence for a July release is maintained based on the strength of these repeated claims.
2026-06-24 · Jul 1 – Jul 31, 2026 · 90%
Multiple leaks from a credible insider consistently and strongly indicate a July 2026 release for the next major model, 'Kimi K3'. These signals corroborate an earlier release than the statistical baseline, justifying the maintenance of the current July window and high confidence level.
2026-06-24 · Jul 1 – Jul 31, 2026 · 85%
Multiple strong leaks from a credible insider repeatedly and confidently pinpoint a July 2026 release for the next major model, identified as Kimi K3. The high certainty of these claims, including one asserting a release "in July 100%", reinforces the current window and raises our confidence.
2026-06-21 · Jul 1 – Jul 31, 2026 · 85%
Prominent leaker @chetaslua has reiterated that the upcoming Kimi K3 model is scheduled for a July 2026 release. Due to the high consistency of these leaks, we maintain the predicted release window of July 2026 with 85% confidence.
2026-06-15 · Jul 1 – Jul 31, 2026 · 80%
Confidence has been increased based on multiple leaks from a credible AI insider strongly suggesting a July release for Kimi K3. The source's assertion of '100%' certainty for a July launch reinforces the existing window.
2026-06-14 · Jul 1 – Jul 31, 2026 · 75%
The forecast for a July release is significantly strengthened by a new leak from a credible AI insider. This source explicitly states that "Kimi k3", the next major model, is guaranteed to be released in July, which increases our confidence in the existing window.
2026-06-14 · Jul 1 – Jul 31, 2026 · 70%
The estimate is primarily driven by a leak from a known AI insider, who asserted with high confidence that the next major model, "Kimi k3," will be released in July. This specific claim significantly shortens the timeline from the historical cadence baseline and reinforces the existing July prediction window.
2026-06-13 · Jul 2026 – Sep 2026 · 50%
The prediction window has been narrowed significantly based on a leak from a known AI insider. The source asserted with high confidence that Kimi's next frontier model will be released in July, prompting an update from the previous, wider estimate and an increase in confidence.