@AndrewCurran_ mentioned xAI has a 10T Grok in training and that very large, high-performance models (including from xAI) are expected throughout the rest of 2026.
Open source ↗
xAI
Grok 4.4
PREV Grok 4.3 · 2026-04-30
Leaked name: Grok V9-Medium [unverified]
- Window
- Jun 25 – Jun 30, 2026
- Confidence
- 90%
- Analysis
- Multiple leaks from a credible AI analyst strongly suggest that Grok 4.4 will be released within June 2026. This is corroborated by unconfirmed reports of the model becoming available to some users this week, indicating a release is imminent.
Last updated: 2026-06-24
Grok family release history
Historical release interval
30–265d
Est. next interval
130d
Days since current model
56d
Current model released
2026-04-30
Signals
xAI has added official support for the Firecrawl plugin to Grok agents, enabling web scraping capabilities.
Open source ↗As of June 23-24, 2026, xAI's official status pages indicate all Grok services (iOS, Android, Web, API) are fully operational without declared incidents, despite user reports of issues.
Open source ↗›View all signals (31)
2026-06-24
@AndrewCurran_ mentioned xAI has a 10T Grok in training and that very large, high-performance models (including from xAI) are expected throughout the rest of 2026.
Open source ↗xAI has added official support for the Firecrawl plugin to Grok agents, enabling web scraping capabilities.
Open source ↗2026-06-23
›View 1 more low-trust sources
As of June 23-24, 2026, xAI's official status pages indicate all Grok services (iOS, Android, Web, API) are fully operational without declared incidents, despite user reports of issues.
Open source ↗2026-06-22
According to credible AI analyst Andrew Curran, xAI is expected to release Grok 4.4 within June 2026 and Grok 5 by the end of the year. Additionally, Elon Musk is reportedly training a 10-trillion-parameter Grok model.
Open source ↗›View 1 more low-trust sources
On June 22, 2026, monitoring service StatusGator reported the Grok xAI Website was up but noted 4 user-submitted outage reports in the past 24 hours, primarily from India, Indonesia, and the United Kingdom, which xAI did not officially declare as incidents.
Open source ↗2026-06-18
›View 3 more low-trust sources
xAI released Grok 4.3 on Amazon Bedrock, making it generally available to AWS users and expanding its reach.
Open source ↗An incident affecting Grok access was resolved on June 18, 2026, after lasting over two hours.
Open source ↗On June 18, 2026, Grok experienced an outage lasting approximately 135 minutes, leading to service interruptions.
Open source ↗2026-06-17
›View 2 more low-trust sources
On June 17, 2026, the US Department of Justice intervened in a lawsuit against xAI concerning unpermitted gas turbines at its Colossus 2 data center, arguing that halting these operations would endanger American national, economic, and energy security because Grok models support "mission-critical operations" for military and security agencies.
Open source ↗Grok 4.3 became generally available on Amazon Bedrock on June 17, 2026, offering a 1-million-token context window and configurable reasoning levels.
Open source ↗2026-06-15
›View 1 more low-trust sources
xAI released Grok Build 0.1, a fast coding model, via the xAI API in public beta on June 15, 2026.
Open source ↗2026-06-12
›View 3 more low-trust sources
Grok 5 is anticipated to launch in public beta between May and June 2026, with full API access expected in Q3 2026.
Open source ↗Despite the expected Q2 2026 public beta window, Polymarket bettors are skeptical, with probabilities ranging from 7% to 33% for Grok 5 shipping by June 30, 2026.
Open source ↗Grok 5's public beta is expected to launch between May and June 2026, a delay from its initial Q1 2026 target.
Open source ↗2026-06-11
Grok 5 is expected to have a public beta window in May-June 2026 and full API access in Q3 2026.
Open source ↗A former xAI AI engineer has filed a lawsuit alleging wrongful termination after raising safety concerns about the company's chatbot 'Grok'. This lawsuit highlights potential safety issues with Grok, which could impact the development and release timeline of its successor, grok-next.
Open source ↗›View 2 more low-trust sources
Training completion for Grok 5 was expected in April 2026.
Open source ↗Grok 5 is still anticipated for a public beta release around May-June 2026, with full API access expected in Q3 2026.
Open source ↗2026-06-08
›View 3 more low-trust sources
Credible reports from June 8, 2026, indicate that the public beta for Grok 5 is expected to launch between May and June 2026, with full API access projected for Q3 2026.
Open source ↗A credible report indicates that Grok 5's public beta is anticipated to launch between May and June 2026, with full API access expected in the third quarter of 2026.
Open source ↗Grok 5 is anticipated to be released in Q2 2026, with a public beta expected in May-June and full API access in Q3 2026.
Open source ↗2026-06-05
Elon Musk confirmed on June 5, 2026, that Grok V9-Medium has completed training and is expected for public release in mid-June 2026.
Open source ↗2026-06-03
xAI announced a "Grok Imagine 1.5 Preview," indicating an upcoming iteration of their image-to-video generation model.
Open source ↗›View 2 more low-trust sources
On June 3, 2026, xAI announced the "Grok Imagine 1.5 Preview," an update that expands Grok's multimodal capabilities, specifically for image-to-video generation.
Open source ↗xAI released `grok-imagine-video-1.5-preview`, a new image-to-video model, available in the xAI API preview on June 3, 2026.
Open source ↗2026-06-02
xAI, along with Google and Microsoft, has agreed to provide the U.S. government with early access to new AI models for national security testing before their public release. This agreement, stemming from an executive order signed on June 2, 2026, allows for models to be reviewed up to 30 days prior to launch, which could influence the release schedule of future frontier models.
Open source ↗2026-06-01
xAI made Grok Build 0.1, a specialized model for agentic coding workflows, available in public beta via its API on June 1, 2026.
Open source ↗2026-05-29
›View 1 more low-trust sources
On May 29, 2026, Elon Musk hinted at a "significant breakthrough in training" for large AI models, suggesting this could allow for new model iterations every two weeks.
Open source ↗2026-05-25
›View 2 more low-trust sources
Elon Musk announced on May 25, 2026, that a "V9-Medium 1.5 trillion parameter model" completed training and is slated for release within 2-3 weeks, speculated to be a precursor to Grok 5.
Open source ↗Elon Musk stated on May 25, 2026, that xAI's Grok Foundation model V9-Medium, with 1.5 trillion parameters, had completed training, with a public release anticipated within 2-3 weeks from that date.
Open source ↗2024-06-19
Grok 4.4 is expected to be released soon, with some users reporting it became available this week, though no screenshots have confirmed this.
Open source ↗›Prediction history (10)
2026-06-24 · Jun 25 – Jun 30, 2026 · 90%
Multiple leaks from a credible AI analyst strongly suggest that Grok 4.4 will be released within June 2026. This is corroborated by unconfirmed reports of the model becoming available to some users this week, indicating a release is imminent.
2026-06-24 · Jun 25 – Jul 8, 2026 · 85%
The prediction window has been significantly narrowed based on multiple credible leaks indicating Grok 4.4 will be released imminently, specifically within June 2026. One source suggests some users may have already gained access this week. This high confidence is slightly tempered by potential delays from a recent safety-related lawsuit against the company.
2026-06-24 · Oct 2026 – Dec 2026 · 80%
The forecast has been significantly pulled forward based on credible leaks from an analyst suggesting Grok 4.4 will be released by the end of June, with some unconfirmed user reports of its availability this week. This shifts the focus from a previous Q4 prediction to an imminent incremental update.
2026-06-22 · Jun 13 – Jun 21, 2026 · 99%
According to a report from AI analyst Andrew Curran, xAI is expected to release Grok 4.4 in June 2026, pushing back the Grok 5 release to the end of the year. Additionally, safety concerns raised in a recent whistleblower lawsuit may impact the development timeline, prompting us to shift the expected window to Q4 2026.
2026-06-12 · Jun 13 – Jun 21, 2026 · 99%
Official statements from Elon Musk and x.ai strongly indicate an imminent release. Musk confirmed on June 5th that the next model has completed training and is slated for a 'mid-June' public release. This aligns with official company guidance for a public beta release window of May-June 2026.
2026-06-12 · Jun 13 – Jun 21, 2026 · 99%
Elon Musk's official confirmation on June 5, 2026, that a new model has completed training and is expected for public release in "mid-June" provides a very specific and high-confidence timeline. This is corroborated by his earlier statement on May 25 giving a 2-3 week release window, as well as an official xAI communication indicating a May-June public beta. This strong evidence points to an imminent release.
2026-06-12 · Jun 2026 – Jul 2026 · 99%
The estimate is primarily driven by official statements from Elon Musk, who indicated on May 25 that the model had completed training and would be released in 2-3 weeks, and then reaffirmed on June 5 an expected public release in "mid-June 2026." Multiple leaks and official hints also corroborate a May-June public beta window, suggesting a release is imminent.
2026-06-12 · Jun 2026 – Jul 2026 · 99%
The forecast window has been brought forward significantly with very high confidence due to official statements from Elon Musk confirming a model (codenamed 'V9-Medium') has completed training and is expected for public release in mid-June 2026. Multiple leaks corroborate this timeline and suggest the upcoming model will be officially named 'Grok 5'.
2026-06-12 · Jun 2026 – Jul 2026 · 99%
The forecast is extremely high-confidence due to Elon Musk's direct confirmation on June 5 that a model with completed training is expected for public release in mid-June 2026. This official statement aligns with his previous announcement in late May of a 2-3 week timeline, and is further corroborated by multiple leaks pointing to a May-June beta window, strongly indicating an imminent release.
2026-06-11 · Jun 2026 – Jul 2026 · 95%
Confidence increased due to direct statements from Elon Musk on May 25 and June 5, confirming that a new large model has completed training and is expected for public release in mid-June 2026. This timeline is further supported by official hints of a public beta in May-June followed by full API access in Q3 2026.